Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents

TBPN · · 1 hr 46 min

TBPN and guests debate a concrete AI regulation proposal aimed at slowing capability development to 2040, then discuss near-term opportunities in personal agents and cheap robotics.

Watch the episode 1 hr 46 min · YouTube

The gist

  1. The AI 2040 proposal would pause new frontier training runs and cap compute at data centers running 10,000 or more H100-equivalent chips.
  2. Personal agents handling routine tasks like mail sorting and bill payment are deployable today and carry lower stakes than frontier AI development.

What they recommend · 4 picks

Codex Strong yes AI tools

"My experiment here is plugged right into Codex. And that's of course probably quite expensive, definitely pretty slow. These paintings took between one hour and two hours depend..."

Thijs Simonian ·97 creators recommend it·Thijs's AI tools →
Hugging Face SO-100 Strong yes Gear & hardware

"This arm that I'm using here, right behind me, this is a Hugging Face SO-100 robot, which is an open-source, fully 3D printable. You just need to get the actuators, which are mu..."

Balatro Media & entertainment

"I had Astra use computer use to play a video game that I very much enjoy playing called Balatro. It's sort of like a modified poker game. It did very well. It won. I was not abl..."

John Coogan ·2 creators recommend it·John's media & entertainment →

Also mentioned

2:25 AI 2027 · "AI 2027 predicted that this month, you know, late in 2026, Congress would wake up and that is in the..."
3:24 AI 2040 · "AI 2040. Frustratingly vague about impacts outside of the AI industry. So there's a lot of really amazing..."
36:02 Rabbit R1 · "Kevin said he trapped the fruitfly in his Rabbit R1. When he shakes it, he can see its brain's escape..."
39:22 Astral · "Last night I had Astra use computer use to play a video game that I very much enjoy playing called Balatro...."
41:59 OpenAI · "I work here on the robotics team at OpenAI. I'm an intern and have been doing lots of exploratory projects."
55:44 Sound Ventures · "My name is Guy Oseary from Maverick and also Sound Ventures."

Ads in this episode

Console, Cisco, Figma, Shopify, Railway, New York Stock Exchange, Ramp, Public, MongoDB. They're paid, so we keep them out of the picks above.

See what TBPN recommends without being paid →

◎

Related episodes

Episodes covering similar topics

Follow Thijs Simonian

Free email updates