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AI 2027

AI 2027

media
Last discussed Oct 12, 2026

A document or report that predicts nationalization scenarios for AI development by 2027.

How AI 2027 compares

2 creators weighed in
AI 2040 Different focus
AI futures sequel report

AI 2027 makes concrete predictions. AI 2040 is prescriptive, meant to be debated rather than believed.

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2 creators
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Aric Floyd

"You did a great video about the AI 2027 thing — one of the best videos that's come out about AI this year. With 2027, they were doing pure prediction. This is how we think things will play out most likely, and they are uncannily good at ..."

Contrasted with AI 2040, which is prescriptive rather than predictive

John Coogan

"AI 2040 launched today, the sequel to AI 2027. That's something that's more of a thought-provoking piece that you can debate and interrogate and talk through."

Mentioned as the predecessor to AI 2040

What creators say

Steven Bartlett
mentioned

"In the AI 2027 paper, it says by '27 we'll have recursive self-improvement where the AIs can train themselves to get better."

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Emad Mostaque
mentioned
Praised: Forecast proved accurate

"AGI 2027 was a paper that came out and we're right on track... that Situational Awareness piece, we're right on track. Literally you just had to draw straight lines."

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EZ
Ed Zitron
mentioned

"There's a guy Daniel Kokotajlo who I think you sat here four weeks ago, and last year he and the other folks at the AI Futures Project wrote an essay called AI 2027 spelling out their predictions for how AI would go."

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John Coogan
mentioned

"AI 2027 predicted that this month, you know, late in 2026, Congress would wake up and that is in the journal. Congress is suddenly waking up to the AI doomsday threat."

More from John Coogan →
+3 more mentions from John

"Daniel from AI 2027 was on Joe Rogan. It was an interesting listen. He makes a lot of good points. He breaks things down for a broader audience."

"AI 2040 launched today, the sequel to AI 2027. That's something that's more of a thought-provoking piece that you can debate and interrogate and ta..."

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Liv Boeree
mentioned
Used for: Illustrating the compression of time under exponential AI progress scenarios Praised: Provides a concrete mental model for understanding exponential progress by ma...

"There's this great post from Daniel Kokotajlo, the guy who wrote AI 2027 and then 2040, where he tries to take seriously this exponential trajectory and says if we take that at face value, it means we're going to have 500 years of progress in 5 ye..."

More from Liv Boeree →
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Ezra Klein
mentioned

"That's not in the AI 2027 thing that I think is smart — AI should always have to keep a legible chain of reasoning notepad in English."

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Tyler Cosgrove
mentioned

"AI 2027 also sort of predicted nationalization of this."

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Created by

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Daniel Kokotajlo
creator mentioned
Used for: Reading predictions about how AI development will unfold in the next few years Praised: Based on real forecasting work, written by AI safety researchers with insider...

"You can go read our AI 2027 — this scenario that my co-authors and I wrote a year and a half ago that was a sort of prediction for how the next couple years would go. And spoiler, it ends very horribly because that is what we actually expect."

More from Daniel Kokotajlo →
+1 more mention from Daniel

"AI 2027 is a scenario that you may have heard of. It's a scenario forecast that sort of lays out month by month a possible future trajectory. There..."

About this data

  • ✓44,000+ mentions extracted from real podcast transcripts
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  • ✓Sponsored mentions are always labeled
  • ✓Critical takes are shown, never filtered out
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