The World Cup Kniockouts

The gist

1. France are the clear favorites because they can bring on five world-class substitutes and maintain their edge late in games.
2. Argentina's path to the quarterfinals is softer than their odds suggest, and Messi playing in the USA adds underpriced value.
3. Colombia at +109 odds to reach the quarterfinals looks like hidden value given their speed on the counter and quick decision-making.
4. In a 48-team tournament, squad depth matters more than ever as thinner rosters tend to run out of steam by the knockout rounds.