2nd Half Bets: Thursday Night Football, Falcons at Packers

The gist

1. When a team has no running game and a weakened offensive line, the opposing quarterback is forced to pass more, making pass-attempt props a reliable bet.
2. Mid-game spread shifts, like a move from -6 to -4.5, can signal injury news or sharp money and reveal value before the market corrects.
3. Player props on quarterbacks and receivers tend to have less noise than team spreads because they are less affected by referee decisions and game flow swings.
4. Heisman Trophy betting favors players on winning teams over pure stat leaders, so fading consensus media favorites at short odds can offer value.