“This Will Be The Most Violent Election Of Our Lifetime” - Robert Pape

The gist

1. 25% of American adults, about 65 million people, now support using force to prevent Trump from becoming president, up from 14% a year ago.
2. The typical person supporting political violence today is not a lone outsider but an educated, middle-class professional such as a doctor or business owner.
3. Pape says a razor-thin election result, the January 2027 certification, and use of the Insurrection Act could combine into a dangerous escalation spiral.
4. Structural causes drive both sides: the US white population share fell from 76% in 1990 to 57% today, while the top 1% wealth share rose from 17% to 26%.