Super Forecasting
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A book by Philip Tetlock on the art and science of prediction, describing a group of 'super forecasters' — ordinary people who consistently outpredict CIA analysts through disciplined reasoning.
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"Everybody should go get the book Superforecasting, by the way. It will change the way you think about decision-making. It's an incredible book."
More from Annie Duke →"There's a guy named Philip Tetlock. He's a political psychologist at University of Pennsylvania who authored a book called Super Forecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, after he identified what he called a group of super forecasters — ordi..."
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