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Super Forecasting

Super Forecasting

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1 creator use or recommend it

▲ 1 active in the last 90 days

1 recommend 1 mention
Last discussed Aug 23, 2026

A book by Philip Tetlock on the art and science of prediction, describing a group of 'super forecasters' — ordinary people who consistently outpredict CIA analysts through disciplined reasoning.

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Annie Duke
recommends
Used for: Improving decision-making and probabilistic forecasting skills Praised: Changes the way you think about decision-making; grounded in rigorous researc...

"Everybody should go get the book Superforecasting, by the way. It will change the way you think about decision-making. It's an incredible book."

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Peter Diamandis
mentioned
vs: AI models are now statistically indistinguishable from super forecasters desc...

"There's a guy named Philip Tetlock. He's a political psychologist at University of Pennsylvania who authored a book called Super Forecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, after he identified what he called a group of super forecasters — ordi..."

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