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technique
Monte Carlo Projections
1 creator use or recommend it
▲ 1 active in the last 90 days
1 use
Last discussed Nov 12, 2026
A simulation technique that runs many randomized market scenarios to estimate the likelihood that a retirement plan will last.
Recently discussed in
Helping Clients Who Want A Retirement They Can't Afford - Kitces & Carl Ep 203
Michael Kitces · Nov 12, 2026
What creators say
Michael Kitces
uses
Used for: Assessing the sustainability of client retirement spending
vs: He now anchors to lower probabilities than the 90–95% he previously targeted
"I really adjusted over the years how high of a Monte Carlo projection I anchored to. I like to see 90 to 95% kinds of things for a long time. And came way, way down from that."
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