Three Crises Are About to Collide Into One Giant Crash
Tom Bilyeu breaks down three converging crises: Iran-U.S. tensions, Japan unwinding its yen carry trade, and shaky AI investment fundamentals, and why they could collide into a major market shock within 9 years.
The gist
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Foreign central banks have stopped buying U.S. debt and moved to gold, so Bilyeu says the Fed may need to print $2 trillion a year, risking hyperinflation.
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Japan raising rates toward 2% is closing a 5-point spread that funded cheap global capital, which could drain money from growth stocks and AI investments.
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Bilyeu says AI follows a historical pattern where early investors lose money before value emerges 10 to 20 years later, and current revenue shortfalls suggest that painful phase is starting.
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He warns against government picking industrial winners, like subsidizing specific chip companies, because it tends to create zombie companies that crowd out healthier ones.
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