2nd Half Bets: Thursday Night Football, Lions at Bills

The gist

1. Teams trailing by 17 or more points tend to focus on time of possession rather than defensive changes, settling for short gains.
2. In blowouts, the leading team slows pace and may bench starters late, which kills totals that looked safe at halftime.
3. When defensive backs get injured, opposing offenses shift to horizontal routes, changing the pace and individual player stat ceilings.
4. Second-half unders tend to outperform overs in established blowouts because leading teams prioritize clock management over scoring.