Former Intel CEO: Why This is the Best Time to Build Hardware
Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger joins a16z to argue that AI tools have made chip design fast and cheap, while manufacturing, power, memory, and cooling are now the real bottlenecks.
The gist
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AI tools have cut chip design to about 3 months, but fabrication still takes 9 months, so your workload assumptions are often stale before launch.
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Gelsinger says US energy capacity grows only about 4% a year while AI demand surges, making power availability a core constraint for any hardware project.
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Memory architecture has not seen a real breakthrough in 30 years, and Gelsinger expects new approaches using ferroelectrics, MRAM, and stacked designs to emerge soon.
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Optical networking inside data centers looks inevitable by 2028 to 2029, but immature supply chains and unsolved packaging create 18 to 24 months of execution risk.
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